A full explanation of how probability scores, net worth estimates, and timeline projections are calculated — and why all figures should be treated as estimates only.
Important Disclaimer: All rankings, net worth figures, probability scores and other estimates on Trillionaires.info are provided for informational and educational purposes only. They are not financial advice or investment recommendations. Net worth estimates are highly approximate. All data is based on publicly available information that may be outdated or incomplete.
Each candidate receives a Probability Score from 0 to 100 — a composite, weighted metric representing relative likelihood compared to other candidates. A score of 99 means we believe the candidate is significantly more likely to achieve $1 trillion than a candidate scoring 55.
Estimates are derived from SEC filings, publicly reported private company valuations, Bloomberg Billionaires Index, Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List, and credible financial journalism. We do not have access to private financial information.
We show Musk's net worth as exceeding $1 trillion based on the SpaceX IPO prospectus filed with the SEC, which values his ~42% stake at $866.5 billion at the $135 IPO price. Adding his Tesla holdings produces a paper total exceeding $1.1 trillion. The Bloomberg Billionaires Index currently shows $722 billion pending IPO pricing — both figures are noted on relevant pages.
Trillionaires.info is an independent educational resource. We are not affiliated with any profiled individual or their companies, and we provide no investment advice of any kind.